Brisbane's Title Hopes Hinge on Key Players' Return
Challenging Start Mirrors 2023 Teams that Rebounded
Brisbane Lions find themselves in a similar position to Carlton, Greater Western Sydney, and Sydney Swans in 2023, with an identical 4-6 record after 11 matches. These teams overcame adversity to reach the preliminary finals and elimination final, respectively.
Injuries and Depth
Injuries have played a significant role in Brisbane's struggles, with Keidean Coleman, Tom Doedee, Darcy Gardiner, and Lincoln McCarthy all suffering ruptured ACLs. Zac Bailey and Brandon Starcevich have also been sidelined. However, outside of the midfield and "spine," injuries alone cannot account for Brisbane's underperformance.
Home Field Advantage Lost
The Gabba, once an impenetrable fortress for Brisbane, has lost its aura this season, with the Lions suffering losses to Blues, Collingwood, and Geelong, after an undefeated (13/13) home record in 2023.
Loss of Hunger or Individual Form?
Brisbane has consistently reached the latter stages of September since 2019, raising questions about whether their desire to succeed has waned. Individual form has also been a concern, with players such as Charlie Cameron, Cam Rayner, Joe Daniher, and Eric Hipwood struggling to find their best.
Reasons for Optimism
Despite the challenges, Brisbane has 12 matches remaining, and requires approximately eight wins to enter the finals. They face six top-eight teams, four at home. The return of Bailey and Starcevich, and the potential addition of Will Ashcroft, could significantly boost their chances.
Depth Players Impress
Injuries have provided opportunities for younger players, such as Kai Lohman, Bruce Reville, Logan Morris, Harry Sharp, and Shadeau Brain, who have shown promising signs and provided depth that Fagan can now utilize.
Key Players Under Pressure
While contributions from fringe players are valuable, Brisbane's success depends on the improvement of its top-line players. Charlie Cameron, Cam Rayner, Joe Daniher, and Eric Hipwood have underperformed, with poor finishing, inconsistent marking, and lack of impact. Hugh McCluggage, coming off a breakout season, has also been less consistent.
Conclusion: Will History Repeat Itself?
Brisbane has the opportunity to emulate the 2023 turnaround teams, but it requires a resurgence from its key players. Injuries and home-field advantage have been setbacks, but the Lions still possess the talent and depth to make a run at the finals. Whether they can overcome their challenges and replicate the success of previous years remains to be seen.